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Predictors of HIV Disease Progression

The median time from the acquisition of infection and the development of AIDS is variable and depends on many factors. It is usually 10-12 years. Without therapy the CD4+ declines by 40-80 cells / mm³ each year.

Among the predictors of disease progression are :

bullet Transfusion recipients often progress faster to AIDS as compared to Haemophilics.
bullet The rapidity of progression of infection increases if the infection is acquired after the age of 35 years.
bullet Higher viral load is associated with faster disease progression.
bullet CD4 cell count provide crucial information as to the degree of immunodeficiency.
bullet Combined plasma viral load and CD4 count estimation provides best estimation of disease progression in an individual.
                                                                   08-Nov-2004
A significant proportion of patients at a major London HIV treatment centre are diagnosed with HIV with very low CD4 counts, according to a study published in the November 5th edition of AIDS. The investigators also found that individuals presenting with late-stage HIV infection were more likely to be women, of African ethnicity and older.

There have been anecdotal reports that the number of individuals being diagnosed with HIV in the UK when they already have severe immune suppression has increased in recent years. Patients who have a low CD4 cell count at the time of their HIV diagnosis are at higher risk of disease progression and are less likely to experience the same degree of immunological and virological benefit from HAART. There are also concerns individuals who have very low CD4 cell counts at the time of their HIV diagnosis make a greater demand on clinical services.
 
bullet HIV infection
bullet Laboratory Tests for HIV Infection
bullet Manifestations of HIV
bullet Management of HIV infection
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